​​​Macro news

​Focus on US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data: Investors are awaiting July PCE inflation figures, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, with markets now pricing in an 85% probability of a September rate cut.

US dollar softens on Fed outlook: The dollar is on track for a 2% monthly decline as expectations for rate cuts build and concerns grow over Fed independence amid Trump’s push to remove Governor Lisa Cook.

​DAX 40 weighs on support

The DAX 40 has been gradually coming off its 24,536 August high and hovers above this week’s lows at 24,206-to-24,198. Together with the 22 and 28 of July as well as 12 August lows at 23,942-to-23,922 it offers support.

As long as it holds, a recovery towards the 24,300 region may ensue but failure at 23,922 on a daily chart closing basis could lead to the early August low at 23,381 being revisited. 

DAX 40 daily candlestick chart



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