The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) posted modest gains on Tuesday, outperforming European and US peers, while weak UK data put sterling under pressure.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 9.90 points, 0.1%, at 9,452.77. The FTSE 250 (^FTMC) ended 36.14 points lower, 0.2%, at 22,028.18, and the AIM All-Share ftai (^FTAI) dropped 2.91 points, 0.4%, to 789.56.

The UK unemployment rate unexpectedly rose in the three months to August, numbers showed.

According to the Office for National Statistics, the jobless rate was 4.8% in the three months to August, rising from 4.7% in the three months to July.

It had been expected to stay at 4.7%, according to consensus cited by FXStreet.

The ONS said payrolled employees in the UK fell by 93,000 on-year in August alone but did rise by 10,000 on-month.

In the early estimate for September, which the ONS warns is likely to be revised, payrolled employees fell by 100,000 on-year and by 10,000 on-month to 30.3 million.

Annual growth in regular earnings, so excluding bonuses, was 4.7% in the three months to August, easing from 4.8% in the three months to July. The figure landed in line with consensus.

Deutsche Bank’s chief UK economist Sanjay Raja said “one thing is clear, slack continues to build in the labour market”.

“Wage pressures are easing on the back of softening labour market and hiring plans remain stalled,” he added.

“Bottom line, we continue to think that a [fourth quarter 2025] rate cut may be underpriced by markets. We hold on to our view for a December 2025 rate cut.”

Citi said the jobs and wage growth figures add to its conviction that Bank of England meetings in November and December are “live”.

“Inflation data next week will be an important test with an undershoot likely to trigger further repricing towards an additional cut this year,” the broker said.

Elsewhere, a leading policymaker at the Bank of England warned that there is a “rising” risk that the UK economy could see a “more forceful downturn” because of higher borrowing costs.

Alan Taylor, a member of the central bank’s nine-strong Monetary Policy Committee, said there was a small but growing chance that the UK will witness negative growth and “recession dynamics start to kick in”.

He cautioned that it is “increasingly likely” that the UK economy will fall into a “weakened state for a sustained period”, with inflation sliding below target levels.

He said he believes this could lead to “undue damage” to economic activity in the UK.

The pound was quoted lower at 1.3294 US dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Tuesday, compared to 1.3331 US dollars on Monday.



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